US Foreign Assistance
Measuring the impact of changes to the US foreign assistance budget
As both the Administration and Congress debate the future shape and size of US foreign assistance, it is vital that they possess a solid understanding of the impact of their decisions. To contribute towards this evidence base, Publish What You Fund has launched a project to investigate the potential impact of future cuts.
The project will combine a deep-dive into the data and research in partner countries. The findings will be fed into the FY19 congressional budget debates through our strong network of US partners.
A key outcome will be to actively demonstrate how better data on foreign assistance can be used to improve decision making. A set of recommendations on how the US might further improve its aid transparency will be produced.
Summary of findings
Read the summary paper The Impact of Propsed Cuts to US Foreign Assistance, as well as each individual country briefings:
- Nicaragua: The budget proposed ending all bilateral aid to Nicaragua. The US is the only donor to operate independently of the Nicaraguan government’s influence. If the US was to withdraw, it would severely damage the democracy movement, broader civil society and women’s rights groups. A number of independent organisations will be forced to close. Download report.
- Cambodia: The budget proposed ending bilateral agricultural assistance in Cambodia. Poverty gains will be adversely affected, as no other OECD donor is able to shift program focus to cover a gap. China will likely fill some of the resource gap, increasing its influence and leadership in Cambodia. The space for Cambodia’s civil society could shrink further and slow down governance reform efforts. Download report.
- Liberia: The budget proposed a 66% cut to democracy and governance work in Liberia. US achievements in institution-strengthening will be endangered, especially in light of the election of a new and inexperienced government. There are concerns that this will have serious ramifications for anti-corruption, civil society, and the decentralisation of services to support the most vulnerable. Download report.
- Senegal: The budget proposed a 44% cut to agricultural assistance in Senegal. There will be a significant gap in tackling food insecurity, which other donors may work to fill but would take years. In the interim, the worsening conditions could contribute to destabilising the country — notably the Casamance, where a reduction of agricultural support may risk efforts to end the low-level conflict there. Download report.
- Research: The project will initially scope all available open aid data and analyze the political economy of a number of partner countries currently receiving foreign assistance. This will be followed by key informant interviews in Washington DC and each of the partner countries, as well as comparative research on other donor activities in those countries. This research aims to determine the potential impact of changes to the US budget.
- Distribution: The findings will be written up into a main report accompanied by country-specific briefings. These will be distributed through face to face events as well as via our partners in Washington DC.
- Transparency: Taking lessons from the scoping of available open aid data at the start of the project, we will produce a number of targeted recommendations for how the US government can improve its transparency. The aim of this is to enable both the government and others to access and use this information more effectively in future.
Read our full research methodology here.
Senior Advocacy Advisor